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Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Match Preview, Form & Market Context
Match PreviewApr 03, 2026

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Match Preview, Form & Market Context

Union Berlin in Bundesliga: BTTS in 1 of the last 5, averaging 0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded. Market context and sharper pre-kickoff read, price movement and sharper pre-kickoff context.

Union Berlin sits 9th on 31 pts, while FC St. Pauli is 16th on 24 pts
Goal difference split: Union Berlin -15, FC St. Pauli -20
Union Berlin last 5 in Bundesliga: L-W-L-L-W (6/15 points)
By SportOddsLab Insights Team
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Quick Read
What stands out before you scan the full breakdown
Union Berlin sits 9th on 31 pts, while FC St. Pauli is 16th on 24 pts
Goal difference split: Union Berlin -15, FC St. Pauli -20
Union Berlin last 5 in Bundesliga: L-W-L-L-W (6/15 points)
Best Prices
Quick bookmaker snapshot from the live market read in this preview
Coolbet logo
Home
Coolbet
Best quoted price: 2.17
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Draw
1xBet
Best quoted price: 3.35
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Away
1xBet
Best quoted price: 4.06
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Mentioned Bookmakers
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Match context

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli in Bundesliga (Germany). Kickoff: Apr 05, 2026, 03:30 PM.

Table context

  • Union Berlin sits 9th on 31 pts, while FC St. Pauli is 16th on 24 pts.
  • Goal difference split: Union Berlin -15, FC St. Pauli -20.

    • Recent form

  • Union Berlin last 5 in Bundesliga: L-W-L-L-W (6/15 points).
  • FC St. Pauli last five overall: n/a (0/15 points).
  • Union Berlin home split: 1-1-1 from the last 3, averaging 1.00 scored.

    • Trend nuggets

  • Union Berlin in Bundesliga: BTTS in 1 of the last 5, averaging 0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded.
  • FC St. Pauli overall: over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 0, with 0 scoreless outings in that run.
  • Union Berlin home matches have landed BTTS in 2 of the last 3.
  • Union Berlin availability watch: 109 flagged absences in the current injury feed, including Frederik Ronnow - Unknown Injury; Lucas Tousart - Stomach complaints; Diogo Leite - Injury.

    • Preview quality score

  • Score: 64/100 (Medium)
  • Coverage: 35/35
  • EV signal strength: 5/25
  • Timing quality: 4/20
  • Data completeness: 20/20

    • EV baseline and market consensus

  • Home: 2.17 (Coolbet) | EV -1.67%
  • Draw: 3.35 (1xBet) | EV +0.22%
  • Away: 4.06 (1xBet) | EV +0.56%
  • Max EV (snapshot): +0.56%
  • EV spread (max-min): 2.24 pp
  • Market max EV sits at +0.56% across 59 tracked books.
  • AWAY has moved 3.45 -> 3.70 (+7.25%) at Winamax.

    • Late movement watchlist

  • Bookmaker coverage: 59 books
  • Re-check prices near kickoff; late moves can alter risk/reward.
  • Compare at least 2-3 books before execution.

    • Risk and uncertainty notes

  • Lineups, injuries, and late team news still need a manual re-check close to kickoff.
  • Use the price map as context, not as a blind auto-bet trigger.
  • EV is model-based context, not a guaranteed return.

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