Football Volatility Watch (2026-04-02): Pre-kickoff Price Instability
Pre-match volatility report focused on movement strength, timing risk and execution stability before kickoff.
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Volatility watch
This report tracks pre-kickoff price instability and timing risk, independent of pure EV ranking.
Highest-volatility fixtures
1. Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro (Brazil Série A) - HOME moved +70.54% (1.29 -> 2.20), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 11:30 PM, volatility score 100/100
2. FC Midtjylland vs SonderjyskE (Denmark Superliga) - DRAW moved +56.25% (3.20 -> 5.00), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 06:00 PM, volatility score 100/100
3. Rosario Central vs Atlético Tucuman (Primera División - Argentina) - AWAY moved +49.33% (3.75 -> 5.60), kickoff Apr 05, 2026, 02:00 AM, volatility score 100/100
4. Chelsea vs Port Vale (FA Cup) - DRAW moved -47.62% (21.00 -> 11.00), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 06:15 PM, volatility score 100/100
5. Chapecoense vs Vitoria (Brazil Série A) - HOME moved -46.52% (2.30 -> 1.23), kickoff Apr 05, 2026, 09:00 PM, volatility score 100/100
6. Westerlo vs Charleroi (Belgium First Div) - AWAY moved +32.65% (1.96 -> 2.60), kickoff Apr 05, 2026, 06:30 PM, volatility score 100/100
7. Talleres vs Boca Juniors (Primera División - Argentina) - AWAY moved +31.25% (2.40 -> 3.15), kickoff Apr 03, 2026, 01:30 AM, volatility score 100/100
8. Southampton vs Arsenal (FA Cup) - DRAW moved -29.69% (6.40 -> 4.50), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 09:00 PM, volatility score 100/100
9. Borussia Monchengladbach vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bundesliga - Germany) - DRAW moved +27.78% (3.60 -> 4.60), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 03:30 PM, volatility score 100/100
10. Chelsea vs Port Vale (FA Cup) - DRAW moved +27.27% (11.00 -> 14.00), kickoff Apr 04, 2026, 06:15 PM, volatility score 100/100